新一轮疫情再度复燃,全球欧美国家新增病例反弹之际,再有新变种病毒肆虐。欧美等国家加强边境入境限制,打击投资者意愿更相信影响消费者消费意欲。上星期五全球股市下挫,汇市和金市出现强劲波动,国际油价跌幅劲人,美元指数则由97水平大幅回落至96边。

 

黑色星期五消费受挫

市场最关心的美国感恩节传统消费旺季的大日子“黑色星期五”,受访民众表示因通胀所引发的价格上升,减低购物意欲和降低消费支出,直接影响商店及百货零售的生意金额,这意味美国消费市场难以重返疫情前水平。

这周欧美国家将会公布多项重要经济数据信息。在美国11月两个重要的非农就业数据公布前,市场更关注周二晚美国联储局主席鲍威尔出席听证会。鲍威尔获知连任后的第一个出席听证会活动,届时留意鲍威尔对未来经济和通胀问题的看法,更重要是货币政策的观点孰鹰孰鸽。

 

市场料鲍威尔转鹰

外界认为他获连任后态度将会转鹰派,但从他的过去表现和演说,还有未来跟他携手领导联储局的副主席布雷纳德也属鸽派,因此外界更关心这次听证会上的任何细节和内容。

上周纽西兰联储银行宣布加息0.25%。但纽储行行长在发布会上表示,若未来当地经济出现放缓情况,储行会再次决定收紧货币政策。言论发出后,纽元兑美元应声下跌,创三个月来单周最大跌幅,跌至三个月最低位0.6810。技术上,纽元兑美元迫近九月时候最高位0.6795,若跌破该位,意味有机会进入由去年三月至今年二月的调整幅度的38.2%区,下试0.6703,而短期重要阻力位将会留意在0.6860及0.6900,但要视乎明日纽西兰公布的11月份商业信心指数表现和美国的一系列数据表较,而更重要看联储局主席鲍威尔的政策立场如何指引美元。

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Restrictions on Use

ATFX

Restrictions on Use

AT Global Markets (UK) Limited does not offer trading services to retail clients.
If you are a professional client, please visit https://www.atfxconnect.com/