尽管特朗普总统试图否认美元存在问题,但美元指数(USDX)在过去一周仍大幅下跌。

USDX – Daily Chart

美元指数– 日线图

美元指数一度攀升至99.00后回落,再次测试96.00的支撑位。

周三美元走势平稳,但仍有望创下4月以来最大单日跌幅。此前,特朗普对美元的最新下跌轻描淡写,这也引发了欧洲央行官员对欧元强势的担忧。

欧元兑美元汇率自2021年以来首次突破1.20美元,英镑则创下4.5年来的新高。此前,市场猜测美联储将联合干预以支撑日元。

周二,当被问及是否认为美元的最新跌幅过大时,特朗普表示美元的价值“很好”。交易员认为这是在美联储政策决定公布前加大抛售力度的信号,该决定将于隔夜公布(针对亚洲交易员)。特朗普近期在关税威胁和地缘政治威胁方面反复无常,其言论并未提振美元。投资者认为美元风险较高,正转向其他避险资产。

去美元化趋势强劲,投资者将减少对所有美国资产的投资。法国央行行长弗朗索瓦·维勒鲁瓦·德加洛在领英上发文称,政策制定者正在“密切关注欧元升值及其对降低通胀的潜在影响”。

“美国希望日元走强。日本当然不希望日元持续贬值。因此,在日元升值幅度达到一定程度之前,各方立场一致。欧元目前实际上非常强势,经济也无需担心通胀问题,”法国兴业银行的基特·朱克斯表示。

“美元是个例外,因为美国通胀居高不下,但经济状况非常好。资产市场表现也很出色,”他补充道。

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